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Alumina / Chemicals Manufacturing Company – MTO

Module: Master Production PlanningIndustry: Chemicals
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Client Overview:  ​Alumina Division of a Global Major in Aluminium FRP / Extrusion.The client is a global major part of large conglomerate in India. The plant manufactures special alumina and alumina hydrates for refractory, ceramics, polishing, fire retardant filler in polymer composites, alum, zeolite with ability to produce 120 different grades, serving more than 600 customers, across 32 countries and Group consumption.

Key Features

  1. Medium / Short Term Planning tool  
  2. Multiple Objectives of Capacity Utilization, OTIF, Contribution, Demand Fulfilment
  3. ​Sequence Dependency
  4. Scenario Analysis

Problem Method and Result

The Puzzle

  • The Client has a about 100-120 grades of Alumina with 4 main Kiln resources producing the various grades. 
  • Some of the SFG can be considered as FG and sold off while the rest is taken to further processing.
  • Further processing results in Coarse, Mill and Micro variants.
  • There is a sequence dependency that is considered for the process of planning.
  • The client was using Excel to Plan its operations and looking to optimise its Production Plan.
  • Client required Production Planning both at the Monthly Level as well as on a Daily level.
The Solution
  • Demand Aggregation Portal was configured to first collect demand at the customer / SKU level.
  • The solution was designed such that demand satisfaction gets priority. Whilst trying to maximize capacity utilization by grouping of similar orders to reduce set up times.
  • The model suggested the Product Mix considering priority of the certain products over the other so that contribution is maximized.
  • ​The model looked at demand constraints, capacity constraints, set up matrix, Inventory balance constraint etc. to arrive at optimal mix of product as well as their schedule for the production.
  • The model also suggested SKUs to manufacturing in case of capacity gaps based on future demand.
The Result
  • Automated Production Start and End date of the orders.
  • Prioritisation products based on contribution.
  • Monthly and Daily Planning
  • Visibility of capacity utilization / inventory.
  • Suggestions on future products to be produced in case of Capacity availability.
  • Changeover time minimization through proper sequence of products

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Fabric & Domestic Cleaning Products Company

SOLUTIONS DESIGNED TO SYSTEMATICALLY ESTIMATE MARKET DEMAND 

Be it New Product Development, Planning, or Promotions, implementing collaborative Demand Forecasting provides you with statistical / ML / AI data to support the course of action in the medium term. 

the puzzle

Demand Planning comprises key step of arriving at a baseline number. This is done by using Statistical and ML/AI methods. The Module applies various methods of forecasting on the historical Sales data to arrive at the forecast in the coming months. The forecasting can be done at various levels such as SKU-Depot / Brand-Region / SKU Region 

the result

Multiple Heirarchy

Forecasting at multiple Hierarchies e.g. SKU-Location, SKU-Sales Office, Brand-Channel etc.

Supersession

Supersession that allows linking of old to new items to provide meaningful continuity in history for effective forecasting new product

Statistical Methods

Variety of Forecasting Techniques using efficient Python to take care of different distributions such as seasonality, promotions etc. Also allows for Outlier Detection

Classification of Products

Dynamic Classification of Products across Runner / Repeater / Stranger using different parameters of frequency, variability etc.

ML / AI Methods

Selection of different AI / ML Methods for cases where ML can be implemented 

Choice of Error Methods

Selection of Techniques based on different Error Measures with ability to add custom Statistical Techniques